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TURNING POINTS

While Bush touts yet another "turning point" in Iraq, it looks like the debate over the war here at home may have actually shifted a bit today. Take a look:
Unity Through Autonomy in Iraq By JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR. and LESLIE H. GELB Published: May 1, 2006

A decade ago, Bosnia was torn apart by ethnic cleansing and facing its demise as a single country. After much hesitation, the United States stepped in decisively with the Dayton Accords,which kept the country whole by, paradoxically, dividing it into ethnic federations, even allowing Muslims, Croats and Serbs to retain separate armies. With the help of American and other forces, Bosnians have lived a decade in relative peace and are now slowly strengthening their common central government, including disbanding those separate armies last year.

Now the Bush administration, despite its profound strategic misjudgments in Iraq, has a similar opportunity. To seize it, however, America must get beyond the present false choice between "staying the course" and "bringing the troops home now" and choose a third way that would wind down our military presence responsibly while preventing chaos and preserving our key security goals.

The idea, as in Bosnia, is to maintain a united Iraq by decentralizing it, giving each ethno-religious group — Kurd, Sunni Arab and Shiite Arab — room to run its own affairs, while leaving the central government in charge of common interests. We could drive this in place with irresistible sweeteners for the Sunnis to join in, a plan designed by the military for withdrawing and redeploying American forces, and a regional nonaggression pact.

Looks like the White House has already shot down Sen Biden's idea:

White House spokesman Scott McClellan said the administration remained committed to a unified Iraq.

"A partition government with regional security forces and a weak central government, as you are referencing, is something that no Iraqi leader has proposed and that the Iraqi people have not supported," he said.

Want analysis of the details? I'm not your man, but Juan Cole most certainly is.

But on the domestic political ramifications of this I do have something to say. Finally, we are moving beyond the "stay the course" versus "cut and run" ridiculousness. If the Dems can unite around some sort of alternative plan, one that both facilitates our withdrawal and that provides for Iraq an alternative to an ongoing descent into civil war, the upside, both for our policy and our politics, will be enormous.

The debate shifted today. Finally we have a real alternative on the table. What happens next? Stay tuned....


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