After tonight, Obama's lead in pledged delegates will be up over 150.
To catch up, Hillary needs to win 58% of all remaining pledged delegates. But if you give Obama the states he should win - Mississippi, N. Dakota, Montana, Wyoming, Oregon, Vermont, and North Carolina - she needs 65% of the delegates in the remaining states (most notably OH, TX, PA, KY, IN, and WV).
Obama needs to win 65% of all of the remaining delegates to get to the magic number of 2025 without any additional Super Delegates. Throw in the Supers, however, and he needs less than 50% of what's left.
As Andrea Mitchell just said, where is she going to catch up? The polls in Texas show that he's pulled even with her there, and in Ohio he's cut her lead in half.
I've said it before, and I will say it again: If Obama wins Ohio, it is over. No fight over the Supers. No need to fret about Pennsylvania. No need to plan a trip to Puerto Rico. If he wins Ohio, it is over.
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