Chris Bowers has an excellent state-by-state breakdown. Bottom line?
Obama: 1,020
Clinton: 934
Two footnotes worth noting:
The Michigan Democratic Party has claimed it will send a pledged delegate count of 73 Clinton, 55 uncommitted to the national convention. The DNC has ruled that Michigan has no pledged delegates. This conflict will be worked out by the DNC credentials committee, sometime in June or July.
The Florida Democratic Party has claimed that it will send a pledged delegate count of 95 Clinton, 63 Obama, and 27 Edwards to the national convention. The DNC has ruled that Florida has no pledged delegates. This conflict will be worked out by the DNC credentials committee, sometime in June or July.
Assuming that the 55 uncommitted go to Obama, and assuming that the rest are accepted at the convention as is, this would allow Clinton to close the gap by 50 delegates, an amount that is less than the amount currently separating them today.
Were Edwards to endorse Obama, her net would drop to just 23 delegates.
Short version? This may not be nearly as big a deal as people seem to think.
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