+ Rain, snow and sleet in the forecast for Ohio tomorrow. As it did in Maine, I suspect this will benefit Obama. Why? Older voters are more likely to support... [More]
March 3, 2008
March 4, 2008
Election Day Predictions, With Running Updates
Might as well go on the record with this.... TODAY: Texas: On the strength of early voting, Obama pulls out a narrow win in the popular vote, and a slightly... [More]
Worse, Much Worse, Before Getting Better
Hilzoy is right. If Obama doesn't put this one away tonight, the tone of this campaign is going to get worse before it gets better. John Aravosis, as just one... [More]
MidEvening Thoughts, Updated
Some thoughts... + The networks have called Ohio for Hillary. But I'm standing by my earlier prediction: the final result will be less than 2%. None of the urban areas... [More]
"The World Is Watching"
Obama just gave one hell of a speech. Again. But this time he took a totally different tack. And I may have time to get into the details later, but... [More]
March 5, 2008
Quote of the Night
Courtesy of Keith Olbermann: "This election will come down to delegates.... Again and again, this race has shown that it is voters and delegates who matter, not the pundits or... [More]
Chuck Todd Updates the Numbers
Vermont and Rhode Island cancel one another out. +3 for Obama in VT, +3 for HRC in RI. Ohio will be a net 5-9 delegates from Ohio. Obama will net... [More]
Chuck Todd, Take III
He really has become my go-to guy for intelligent analysis on TV. Even at 1:30am he's still making sense. To paraphrase.... Neither candidate can win the required number of delegates... [More]
Chuck Todd, Take IV
More from the best political analyst on TV.... HRC just bought John McCain the time he needs to build a campaign infrastructure. Right now he's got nothing. As recently as... [More]
About Last Night
Texas: For those of you looking for an accurate count of delegates from the primary, Burnt Orange Report has what you need. As of earlier this morning, incoming reports had... [More]
Quote of the Day
James Fallows, watching CNN early this morning, heard the following not once but twice from Clinton: Sen. McCain has a lifetime of experience, I have a lifetime of experience, Sen.... [More]
Quote of the Day II
David Axelrod, Obama's chief strategist, talks about what's next: ``We have not hesitated to draw distinctions between the candidates and we'll continue to do that," said Obama's chief strategist, David... [More]
Looking Towards Pennsylvania
Its already too late in the evening to do extensive commentary, so I'm going to outsource it all. Here is some of the best commentary I've found today on the... [More]
These Are the Rules, The PA Version
Well now this is interesting. Apparently the delegate allocation rules in PA are even more favorable for Obama than were the ones in Texas. Anyone want to place bets on... [More]
March 6, 2008
About Laura Bush
John Aravosis asks a great question: I'm just trying to figure out how being First Lady or First Gentleman (Sir Dennis Thatcher comes to mind) somehow prepares you for being... [More]
The Supers
Political Wire: Rep. Lacy Clay (D-MO), Sen. Barack Obama's Missouri co-chairman and pledged Obama superdelegate, said Obama will gain the support of 50 undecided Democratic superdelegates later this week, according... [More]
More NAFTA-Gate Nonsense?
So the story all weekend was about how one of Obama's advisors has assured the Canadians that when it came to NAFTA, he was all talk. Clinton hammered him for... [More]
Looking Towards Pennsylvania, Part II [Updated]
This one is all Marc Ambinder. After playing with one of those fancy delegate calculators that are apparently all the rage, he's come up with the precise scenario that would... [More]
No Secret Supers!
So much for that idea - Team Obama denies reports of a secret stash of 50 Super Delegates. Oh well....... [More]
Bits and Bobs
No time for blogging today - I'm packing for a week of skiing in Big Sky, Montana - so for today these odds and ends will have to do. +... [More]
March 7, 2008
Olbermann Eviscerates Clinton
Oh my. If you care at all about the idea of a Democratic Party that stands for something other than a watered down version of conservative Republicanism, you must get... [More]
Because I Cannot Resist... Some Pre-Flight Bits and Bobs
Before I head out for the airport this afternoon... + FL and MI back in play? Don't forget that the magic number jumps from 2025 to 2200+. Hillary could make... [More]
March 9, 2008
Blogging From Big Sky, Day One
There's only one word that can describe skiing in Big Sky, Montana: Epic. I know that the reviews and websites all say that you can ski with no lift lines... [More]
Quote of the Night
Tom Daschle, responding to Clinton's suggestion that Obama run as her VP: "It's really a rare occurrence, maybe the first time in history, that the person who's running No. 2... [More]
March 10, 2008
Blogging From Big Sky, Day Two
Some things that happened in the world today while I was flying down the side of a mountain... + Mark Penn apparently believes that Clinton's victories in Texas and Ohio... [More]
March 11, 2008
Blogging From Big Sky, Day Three
Some things that happened in the world today while I was flying down the side of a mountain... + You must have been hiding under a news-free rock if you... [More]
March 13, 2008
Blogging From Big Sky, Day Five
Some things that happened in the world today while I was flying down the side of a mountain... + The Republican Party has some very real, and very serious, legal... [More]
March 14, 2008
Blogging From Big Sky, Day Six
Some things that happened in the world today while I was flying down the side of a mountain... + It is now official: we are in a recession. The National... [More]
March 17, 2008
Bits and Bobs From the Campaign Trail
Some campaign news you may have missed: + I'm way behind on my Obama-Wright blogging, and at this point I think it makes sense to hold off on commenting until... [More]
March 18, 2008
Obama's Speech, The Prelude
This is obviously the major news of the day, so I suspect that a number of posts will be in order here. Before I get to the text of the... [More]
Obama's Speech, The Text
Here is the prepared text of today's speech: "We the people, in order to form a more perfect union." Two hundred and twenty one years ago, in a hall that... [More]
Obama's Speech, The Video
UPDATE: Higher quality version courtesy of the Obama camp:... [More]
Obama's Speech, My First Reactions
Honest. Nuanced. Deeply personal. Impossible to sound bite. A critique not just of our politics but also of our national discourse. He both expects and demands that citizens think and... [More]
Obama's Speech, The Reactions of Others
Given that I suspect history will mark this speech as a major turning point in the campaign, I'm going to put together an extensive compilation of reactions from around the... [More]
Obama's Speech, The Reactions of Others (Part II)
If you prefer something shorter than my last post, go read Jonathan Cohn. UPDATE: Like Cohn, TNR's Eve Fairbanks and Josh Patashnik were once an Obama skeptics. Like Cohn, this... [More]
A Silver Lining?
One last thought, courtesy of Steven Benen: Anyone who still believes Obama is a Muslim, after all of this, probably needs some kind of medication.... [More]
March 19, 2008
Before I Move On To Today's News...
A few more thoughts on yesterday's big speech from Sen Obama: Glenn Greenwald, quoting Steve M.: The premises [the speech] lays out require you to be an adult, and I'm... [More]
Guardian: Clinton a long way from the White House at key foreign policy moments
Thousands of documents detailing Clinton's time as First Lady were released today, and the first pass through looks to create problems for her claims of foreign policy experience. The Guardian:... [More]
March 20, 2008
Black Guy Asks Nation For Change
When the Onion is on, its just so damn on.... [More]
Experience
Yet another of Clinton's claims of experience down the drain... Dana Goldstein: Seriously though, a bigger story supposedly "uncovered" in the First Lady papers is that Hillary never held or... [More]
March 21, 2008
Number of the Day: 2.5 Million
That's the number of views this single instance of Obama's speech on race in America has gotten over the last three days. Some people say our attention spans are shrinking,... [More]
Richardson Endorses Obama
Not sure how much practical impact this will have, but its definitely worth passing along. UPDATE: Interesting. His statement reads as if it is Obama's statements on race that were... [More]
E. J. Dionne: Man On Fire
If you thought his last column was good, wait until you see today's: Let's ask the hard question about the Rev. Jeremiah Wright: Is he as far outside the African... [More]
"Amateur Hour"
TPM: On a conference call with reporters just now, Hillary spokesperson Phil Singer characterized the Obama campaign as "amateur hour." Singer claimed that a discussion this morning on MSNBC suggested... [More]
As The Narrative Turns?
Time's Mark Halperin: 1. She can't win the nomination without overturning the will of the elected delegates, which will alienate many Democrats. 2. She can't win the nomination without a... [More]
A Government Conspiracy. No, But...
Of all of the "crazy" things Rev. Wright said, the ones that people have agreed to be most clearly out of bounds are his comments on AIDS. Wright claimed that... [More]
Another One Bites The Dust
Via Chris Orr.... Hillary Clinton, March 17: I remember landing under sniper fire. There was supposed to be some kind of a greeting ceremony at the airport, but instead we... [More]
Clinton Out Of Money Again?
NYT: Despite a strong month of fund-raising in February in which she brought in $35 million, Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton finished the month essentially in the red, once her campaign's... [More]
March 22, 2008
An Act of Betrayal?
NYT on Bill Richardson's decision to endorse Obama: Mr. Clinton helped elevate Mr. Richardson to the national stage by naming him his energy secretary and ambassador to the United Nations.... [More]
More On Misshapen Memories
If my textual compare-and-contrast of Clinton's tall tales about her trip to Bosnia didn't convince you, let's try the videotaped version: As Steve Benen points out, this really was a... [More]
Fight Back. Always.
In the first Gallup tracking poll completed after Obama's speech on Rev. Wright and race relations, he's back to a 3% point led over Clinton. It's nice to finally have... [More]
March 24, 2008
Bits and Bobs from the Campaign Trail
Some random events from around the campaign trail today... + Clinton gave a big economic speech today. If I had more time, I'd focus on the entire speech. Since I... [More]
March 25, 2008
Even The Pledged Delegates Can Do It!
Two days ago it was Clinton supporter Evan Bayh suggesting that Super Delegates should follow the rules of the Electoral College, rather than the rules of the DNC, in making... [More]
Reluctance
Publius: At the Plank, one of Dayo Olopade's commenters asks why exactly race is making older Democrats reluctant to vote for Obama. The simple answer would be that older Americans... [More]
"Greenspan is their Quaalude"
Great post from Ezra on Clinton's plan to bring back Greenspan for yet another go-round: Markets need to be calmed, and Greenspan is their Quaalude. And while folks are making... [More]
Great Moments In Political Theater
TPMe: Hillary spokesperson Phil Singer blasted out an email at 11:23 insisting that Obama release his tax returns for back years, Exactly two minutes later, at 11:25, Obama spokesperson Tommy... [More]
"Things are being done"
From an interview with Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid: Question: Do you still think the Democratic race can be resolved before the convention? Reid: Easy. Q: How is that? Reid:... [More]
Clinton Heads to Montana?
Chuck Todd: check out the added stop Hillary Clinton has made for Montana on 4/5 and 4/6. Montana is a JUNE primary state; the last day of the primary season.... [More]
Sleep Deprived?
That's the best you've got, Hillary? You "misspoke" about your trip to Bosnia because you were "sleep deprived"? Really? What happened to the 3am phone call? To the Commander in... [More]
March 26, 2008
A More Rational Take on Clinton's Response
OK, now that I've vented, I'm going to outsource a more rational take on Sen. Clinton's comments about Obama and Rev. Wright to Josh Marshall. When you understand the full... [More]
If A=B, and B=C, Then...
So yesterday, Hillary declared that had Rev. Wright been her pastor, she would have left her church. A week ago, Hillary's pastor, Dean Snyder, had this to say about Rev.... [More]
The Latest From Chuck Todd
NBC: As expected, one of the two major Democratic candidates saw a downturn in the latest NBC/WSJ poll, but it's not the candidate that you think. Hillary Clinton is sporting... [More]
3 Myths, 3 Facts
Two days ago, Peter Daou, a member of Hillary Clinton's senior staff, released a memo detailing his version of "3 myths about the democratic race". Chris Bowers, a long-timer friend... [More]
March 27, 2008
Clinton, Bosnia, Snipers, Oh My!
Josh Marshall chronicles the madness.... [More]
Bits and Bobs From the Campaign Trail
+ I'm more convinced than ever that Obama is going to name Bloomberg as his VP. And after reading Marc Ambinder, I'm more convinced than ever that the Mayor would... [More]
March 28, 2008
Race Vs. Gender
Washington Independent has a fascinating article today from Anne Taylor Fleming. Titled "Gender Betrayal: Clinton Never Learned to Effectively Play the Woman Card," it compares and contrasts the role of... [More]
Bits and Bobs From The Campaign Trail
+ Big Pennsylvania SuperD pickup today for Obama: Sen. Bob Casey, Jr. Casey had promised to stay neutral until after the primary, but thanks to Clinton's kitchen sink nonsense, he's... [More]
March 30, 2008
Obama Wins Texas' PrimaCaucus
Turns out Bill Clinton had reason to be afraid. With nearly 87% of the delegate results from the Texas county conventions allocated, it looks like Obama will take enough state... [More]
Campaign Mismanagement
You would think this would be bigger news: Hillary Rodham Clinton's cash-strapped presidential campaign has been putting off paying hundreds of bills for months -- freeing up cash for critical... [More]
Clinton + Bosnia, One Last Time
As I was headed home from a tutoring appointment today, I was listening to NPR's "Wait Wait..." on my radio. I didn't hear the entire thing, but I managed to... [More]
Obama's Your Wingman!
Speaking of NPR's "Wait Wait..." they recently rebroadcast what has to be the best moment from the entire 2008 presidential campaign. If you haven't heard this yet, go now and... [More]
Frank Rich Stole My Idea
This has to be said: Today's column from Frank Rich essentially argues that the Clinton campaign is internet clueless. But I've been saying that for months! C'mon Frank. Where's my... [More]
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