Looks like Hillary Clinton picked up the last little bit of Edwards supporters over the past few days. Gallup: The gap between Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama remains... [More]
February 2, 2008
Post-Super Tuesday February Favors Obama
No matter what happens on Super Tuesday, the race for the Democratic nomination is virtually guaranteed to go deep into March and April. And as one of Marc Ambinder's readers... [More]
February 3, 2008
Obama Up In CA? [With Multiple National Poll Updates]
Zogby says yes; MSNBC says no. Zogby's other Super Tuesday numbers are also quite good for Barack. Given the way the polls have performed this year, and given Zogby's sketchy... [More]
Worth Remembering On Tuesday
LATimes on the California vote count: But Tuesday's expected volume is only part of the reason the results will probably be delayed. About half of the ballots are expected to... [More]
Number of the Day
2%: Yes. We. Can.... [More]
Clinton Camp Push-Polling in CA?
http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/Talking-Points-Memo/~3/228501021/176792.php . The Clintons have yet to respond. If any of my California readers get one of these calls, do me a favor and let me know, OK? And please... [More]
Obama and the Netroots
This is Chris Bowers' strong suit. Read the whole thing to understand this: It feels like the butterfly effect, the Frankenstein monster, or some sort of self-mutating computer virus. The... [More]
February 6, 2008
Winning Red States Isn't Enough. Dig Deeper.
An important reminder from Ezra: I think it's worth remembering that Democrats always win Democratic primaries in red states, and neither Obama nor Clinton have done anything to suggest they... [More]
What We Did Last Night In Mass
For everyone who worked the phones last night here in MA, this is for you:... [More]
Just In Case You Didn't Already Know
Ignore Zogby. His track record isn't just bad, its awful. Watch SurveyUSA. They were on fire last night.... [More]
Prediction Markets
As of today, Intrade has Obama as the frontrunner for the nomination.... [More]
County By County
Very cool interactive maps from the NYT Online.... [More]
A Thought About Florida
I keep hearing/reading rumors that a proposal for officially sanctioned caucuses in Florida and Michigan may be in the offing. Maybe so, maybe not, I have no idea. But I... [More]
Follow the Money
It's official: Clinton had to loan her campaign $5 million in January. That brings her January total to $18.5 million, a bit less than half of what Obama raised. It... [More]
About Last Night
Some final thoughts on Super Duper Tuesday. Obama won more states: 13 to 8 Obama won more delegates: See NBC's projections. Obama won the Mountain West: See Idaho, Colorado, Utah,... [More]
About Those Texas Primaries. They Aren't Really Primaries! [With Critical Update]
I didn't know this: Two-thirds of the delegates will be chosen by caucus. That means money, momentum, and grassroots organizing will be the keys to success. Advantage: Obama. [Hat Tip:... [More]
February 10, 2008
Obama Goes 4 For 4 Tonight
Nebraska: 68% Obama, 32% Hillary Washington: 68% Obama, 31% Hillary (You really have to see the compare-and-contrast photos here, and check out the Jurisdiction results here.) Louisiana: 57% Obama, 36%... [More]
He Can't Win Big States? Nonsense!
Having been crushed in 4 primaries tonight, the Clinton campaign has a new fall back position: Obama wins the small states, but Clinton wins the big states where everyone lives.... [More]
Maine For Obama!
AP calls it. That makes Obama 5 for 5 on the weekend. Go read Matt Y for some a good tongue in cheek take on what we're likely to hear... [More]
February 11, 2008
Pledged Delegate Count
Chris Bowers has an excellent state-by-state breakdown. Bottom line? Obama: 1,020 Clinton: 934 Two footnotes worth noting: The Michigan Democratic Party has claimed it will send a pledged delegate count... [More]
Crunching the Numbers
Via Andrew Sullivan, I see that one of the dKos kids has crunched the numbers and learned some very, very interesting things about the presidential race. you kids working on... [More]
February 13, 2008
Obama's Win, The Long Version
He has now won 8 states in a row, with at least one win in every major region of the country. He's won 23 of 34 state contests. He's won... [More]
February 14, 2008
Quote of the Day + Stat of the Day
"I don't know how you look at it other than to say, he did an amazing job getting people organized," Byrne said. Larry Byrne, an adviser to the Clinton campaign,... [More]
Turning the Mountains Blue
Two huge signs that the Mountain West is turning Democratic blue: First, Sportsmen for Climate Change, a group representing 670 hunting and fishing organizations, is demanding serious action to curb... [More]
Today's Campaign Updates
A few things that deserve longer posts but probably won't get them. + Michael Crowley's piece over at TNR takes the most detailed look I've yet seen at Obama's record... [More]
February 15, 2008
Quick Updates From the Campaign Trail
+ Loads of new polls out today for the upcoming Texas primacaucus. Clinton's up. Clinton's down. Even if the precise numbers aren't clear, one thing is: Texas is in play.... [More]
February 16, 2008
Obama Got No Votes In Harlem? Erm... I Don't Think So
I'm not sure why this isn't bigger news yet: Black voters are heavily represented in the 94th Election District in Harlem's 70th Assembly District. Yet according to the unofficial results... [More]
February 17, 2008
Polls!
Gallup: Obama up by 5% nationwide. Pollster.com: Poll of polls gives Obama is first national lead. ARG: Clinton up by 6% in Wisconsin.... [More]
February 19, 2008
Polls!
+ Gallup's national polls show the race between Obama and Clinton tightening back to 1-point. At the same time, they also show Obama catching her among both hispanics and middle-aged... [More]
First Thoughts on Wisconsin
In no particular order: + Its now ten in a row. And the last few have been by large, double-digit margins. + Wisconsin is a big, white, liberal, progressive, blue... [More]
Chuck Todd's First Take on Delegate Counts
After tonight, Obama's lead in pledged delegates will be up over 150. To catch up, Hillary needs to win 58% of all remaining pledged delegates. But if you give Obama... [More]
February 20, 2008
Runner-Up
An amazing stat: With 97% of the vote counted in Wisconsin, Obama has a nearly 200,000 vote lead over Clinton. But Clinton, believe it or not, has a similar lead... [More]
Obama Wins Hawaii in a Landslide
When I suggested earlier that turnout was the stat to watch tonight, even I had no idea how right I would be. Honolulu Advertiser: Sen. Barack Obama, who was born... [More]
Final Hawaii Results
Over 37,000 people turned out to participate in the caucuses. If I'm reading my history correctly, that's somewhere between 7x and 8x the previous record in the state. I mean...... [More]
February 26, 2008
Polls Polls Polls!!! [Multiple Updates]
Obama up by 4 points in Texas. Or maybe they are tied. Obama up by 16 over Clinton nationwide. Or maybe it is 3 points. Or 12 points? Obama up... [More]
That Experience Thing....
From the new NYT/CBS poll, yet another sign of how uninformed many Americans truly are: 20% say John McCain needs "a few more years" to prepare for the presidency. There... [More]
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